Time Series Analysis with Minitab

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Course Overview

ID 2203006
Duration 2.0 days
Methods Lecture with examples and exercises.
Prerequisites General Knowledge of Mathematics
Target group Data Analysts
Vorgängerkurs 1203001

Objectives

Describe time series

Describe the internal structure of time series

Smoothing and Interpolating Time Series

Smooth time series and use smoothing for Forecasts

Building Deterministic Models

Use Regression Analysis to Build a Time Series Model

Creating ARIMA Models

Use Autoregressive Models for Complex Time Series Analysis

Analyzing Time Series with Minitab

Learn the Minitab Statistical Functions for Time Series

Overview

A time series is a time-dependent sequence of data points. Typical examples of time series are macroeconomic variables, market-related data, and technical measurement data. Time series analysis deals with the mathematical-statistical analysis of time series and the prediction of their future development. It is a specialized form of regression analysis. The Minitab Time Series Analysis seminar demonstrates A selection of methods for conducting time series analyses. In the first part, you will learn how to describe a time series and summarize it in key parameters. The second part introduces univariate time series analysis. This includes the decomposition of a time series and the derivation of (autoregressive) regression models using AR, MA, and AR(I)MA models.

Dates

OPEN
IN-HOUSE

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Learn with customized examples and content—precisely tailored to your requirements.

Your benefits at a glance

  • Flexible preferred date
  • Customized content
  • Intensive exchange
  • High practical relevance

Topics

  • Describe and present time series in a structured manner in Minitab
  • Build simple models using smoothing and interpolation
  • Develop deterministic models for explanation and forecasting
  • Determine and use ARIMA models

Description

Describe time series using descriptive statistics, decompose time series into their components, forecast future values, and model time series using the ARIMA technique.

Services

  • Lunch / catering
  • Help with hotel / travel
  • Comelio certificate
  • Flexible: free cancellation up to one day before
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Content

Univariate description of time series

Minitab Functions for Time Series Analysis - Minitab Chart for time series - Autocorrelation: Lag operator, creation and interpretation of the correlogram - Smoothing of time series: Moving averages, exponential smoothing, Holt-Winters method - First- and second-order differences

Decomposition of time series using deterministic models

Component models: additive and multiplicative - Seasonal structures in time series: trend, seasonal adjustment, and derivation of the seasonal figure, forecasting and residual analysis - Level change - Linear, parabolic, logistic, exponential fitting and regression of time series - Polynomials - Goodness of fit

Minitab Macros for Time Series

Periodogram: derivation and interpretation, to analyze periodic oscillations – cross-correlation in multiple time series

Univariate Linear Time Series Models with AR(I)MA

Stationarity in Time Series – White Noise Processes - AR (Autoregressive) Models - MA (Moving Average) Models - ARMA and ARIMA Models – Forecasting - Residual Analysis – Statistical Tests for Linear Time Series Models – Goodness of Fit and Model Selection - Seasonal Components with SARIMA

Instructor

Our statistics trainer for DOE (Design of Experiments) and SPC (Statistical Process Control) and data analysis with Minitab Marco Skulschus studied economics in Wuppertal and Paris and has been working for more than 10 years as a lecturer, author of specialist books on databases and data analysis, and as a consultant for statistical analysis with Minitab.

Publications

  • Grundlagen empirische Sozialforschung (Comelio Medien )
    978-3-939701-23-1
  • System und Systematik von Fragebögen (Comelio Medien )
    978-3-939701-26-2
  • Oracle SQL (Comelio Medien )
    978-3-939701-41-5
  • MS SQL Server - T-SQL - Abfragen und Analysen (Comelio Medien )
    978-3-939701-69-9

Projects

Mr. Skulschus develops analysis systems based on relational databases and data from production and quality assurance.

Research

He led a multi-year research project to develop a questionnaire system with an ontology-based data model and innovative question-answer representations. Funded by the BMWi and in collaboration with various universities.